From: Investigating zero transmission of HIV in the MSM population: a UK modelling case study
NHS-commissioned PrEP base case scenarioa | Future scenario with 2021 PrEP use data and 99% TasP | |
---|---|---|
Year zero transmission is reached | NR | 2028 |
Additional HIV cases over the model time horizon | 101,684 | 54,675 |
Cases avoided, compared with the base case scenario with 2021 PrEP data, over the time horizon | N/A | 47,009 |
Lifetime risk of acquiring HIV for HIV-negative MSM not using PrEP | 13.20% | 7.28% |